North Carolina Centr
W-L: ( 0-13) PR = 84.8560Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 3-11 206 H Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 0- 5 207 A Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 0- 8 208 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 0- 5 219 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 0-13 219 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 0-10 227 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 0- 9 227 A Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 0- 6 228 A App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 3- 9 228 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 0- 8 301 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 0-14 301 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 0-14 415 A App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 0-10
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Pittsburgh 3-11 -8 -5 - -2.88
206 H Rutgers 0- 5 -5 -8 + 2.85
207 A Notre Dame 0- 8 -8 -9 0.88
208 A South Alabama 0- 5 -5 -8 + 3.27
219 A North Carolina 0-13 -13 -10 - -3.33
219 A North Carolina 0-10 -10 -10 -0.33
227 H App State 0- 9 -9 -7 -1.93
227 A Penn State 0- 6 -6 -11 ++ 4.85
228 A App State 3- 9 -6 -9 + 2.55
228 A Tennessee 0- 8 -8 -13 ++ 4.80
301 H Penn State 0-14 -14 -9 -- -4.64
301 H Penn State 0-14 -14 -9 -- -4.64
415 A App State 0-10 -10 -9 -1.45
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Penn State 0-14 -14 -9 -- -4.64 301 H Penn State 0-14 -14 -9 -- -4.64 206 H Pittsburgh 3-11 -8 -5 - -2.88 219 A North Carolina 0-13 -13 -10 - -3.33 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Penn State 0- 6 -6 -11 ++ 4.85 228 A Tennessee 0- 8 -8 -13 ++ 4.80 206 H Rutgers 0- 5 -5 -8 + 2.85 208 A South Alabama 0- 5 -5 -8 + 3.27 228 A App State 3- 9 -6 -9 + 2.55 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 3-11 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 1.94 -9.62
3 H Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 0- 5 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 1.94 -6.98
3 A Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 0- 8 -6.91 12.46 0.74 1.94 -5.98
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 0- 5 -7.52 11.85 0.74 1.94 -6.57
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 0-13 -6.11 13.26 0.74 1.94 -5.21
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 0-10 -6.11 13.26 0.74 1.94 -5.21
3 H App State (29-22, 92.7) 0- 9 -7.23 12.14 -0.74 1.94 -7.73
3 A Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 0- 6 -4.94 14.43 0.74 1.94 -4.07
3 A App State (29-22, 92.7) 3- 9 -7.23 12.14 0.74 1.94 -6.29
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 0- 8 -2.99 16.38 0.74 1.94 -2.17
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 0-14 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 1.94 -5.51
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 0-14 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 1.94 -5.51
3 A App State (29-22, 92.7) 0-10 -7.23 12.14 0.74 1.94 -6.29
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-77.14
|
winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -77.1379
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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